Ligue 1
May 3, 2026
Nantes
15:00
VS
Marseille
Predicted score
1-1
39% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Nantes
Rank#17
Played25
Points17
PPG0.68
Goal Diff-20
L
L
W
L
L
Marseille
3#Rank
25Played
46Points
1.84PPG
19Goal Diff
W
W
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.2%
8.18
0-1
10.8%
9.28
1-2
9.2%
10.91
1-0
8.1%
12.29
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.9
NO
47% · 2.11
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Nantes
21% · 4.71
Draw
33% · 2.99
Marseille
45% · 2.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.04
Under 51% · 1.96
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.83
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.69
Under 73% · 1.37
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Nantes
L
L
W
L
L
Marseille
W
W
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Nantes
Stat
Marseille
1.13
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.5
#17
League Pos.
#3
17 pts
Points
46 pts
0.68
Points / Game
1.84
-20
Goal Diff.
+19
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Nantes
Draw
Marseille
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +36 | 60 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | +30 | 59 |
| 3 |
Marseille
A
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 40 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +6 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
H
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.