Primeira Liga
May 17, 2026
Nacional
16:00
VS
Guimaraes
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Nacional
Rank#15
Played25
Points22
PPG0.88
Goal Diff-8
D
L
L
L
D
Guimaraes
9#Rank
25Played
32Points
1.28PPG
-9Goal Diff
L
D
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.96
1-0
11.0%
9.07
0-1
8.9%
11.2
2-1
8.9%
11.3
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.95
NO
49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Nacional
30% · 3.35
Draw
34% · 2.95
Guimaraes
36% · 2.76
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.14
Under 53% · 1.88
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39
Under 28% · 3.6
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.97
Under 75% · 1.34
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Nacional
D
L
L
L
D
Guimaraes
L
D
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Nacional
Stat
Guimaraes
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.14
#15
League Pos.
#9
22 pts
Points
32 pts
0.88
Points / Game
1.28
-8
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Nacional
Draw
Guimaraes
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
A
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
H
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.