Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 15, 2026
Nacional

Nacional

01
FT
Estoril

Estoril

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Nacional
Rank#15
Played25
Points22
PPG0.88
Goal Diff-8
D L L L D
Estoril
8#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
4Goal Diff
D L W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.0%
9.07
2-1
8.9%
11.29
1-2
7.9%
12.64
1-0
7.7%
13.02
Both Teams To Score
YES 61% · 1.64
NO 39% · 2.56
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Nacional 29% · 3.45
Draw 32% · 3.08
Estoril 39% · 2.59
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.71 Under 41% · 2.41
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24 Under 19% · 5.18
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.77 Under 64% · 1.56

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Nacional Nacional
D L L L D
Estoril Estoril
D L W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Nacional
Stat
Estoril
1.61
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.44
#15
League Pos.
#8
22 pts
Points
34 pts
0.88
Points / Game
1.36
-8
Goal Diff.
+4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
2 D
3 W
Nacional
Draw
Estoril
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
26 20 5 1 +53 65
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
27 11 9 7 +11 42
7
Estoril Estoril A
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
27 9 5 13 -13 32
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
27 7 7 13 -7 28
14
Estrela Estrela
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional H
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela
26 4 8 14 -20 20
18
AVS AVS
27 1 8 18 -40 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record