Primeira Liga
February 8, 2026
Nacional
0–0
FT
Casa Pia
We predicted
1-1
24% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, February 8 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
0–0
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
24%
Team Context
Nacional
Rank#13
Played20
Points20
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-3
L
W
L
D
L
Casa Pia
15#Rank
20Played
18Points
0.9PPG
-17Goal Diff
W
D
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.4%
9.6
2-1
8.9%
11.2
Nacional 4+
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
12.94
Both Teams To Score
YES
63% · 1.58
NO
37% · 2.73
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Nacional
43% · 2.32
Draw
23% · 4.28
Casa Pia
33% · 2.99
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.62
Under 38% · 2.62
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21
Under 17% · 5.82
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.53
Under 60% · 1.65
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Nacional
L
W
L
D
L
Casa Pia
W
D
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Nacional
Stat
Casa Pia
1.71
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.48
#13
League Pos.
#15
20 pts
Points
18 pts
1.0
Points / Game
0.9
-3
Goal Diff.
-17
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Nacional
Draw
Casa Pia
7
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 6 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
A
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
H
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.