Primeira Liga
April 19, 2026
Nacional
16:00
VS
Alverca
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 19 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Nacional
Rank#15
Played25
Points22
PPG0.88
Goal Diff-8
D
L
L
L
D
Alverca
10#Rank
25Played
28Points
1.12PPG
-15Goal Diff
D
D
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.5%
7.43
1-1
12.2%
8.18
2-0
10.2%
9.84
2-1
9.2%
10.83
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.15
NO
53% · 1.87
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Nacional
35% · 2.88
Draw
34% · 2.97
Alverca
32% · 3.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.3
Under 57% · 1.77
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44
Under 30% · 3.28
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.45
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Nacional
D
L
L
L
D
Alverca
D
D
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Nacional
Stat
Alverca
1.51
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#15
League Pos.
#10
22 pts
Points
28 pts
0.88
Points / Game
1.12
-8
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
0 D
1 W
Nacional
Draw
Alverca
1
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
A
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
H
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.