Liga Nacional
March 15, 2026
Municipal
4–1
LIVE
Aurora
Predicted score
Municipal 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Municipal
Rank#1
Played22
Points48
PPG2.18
Goal Diff27
L
L
W
L
W
Aurora
4#Rank
22Played
39Points
1.77PPG
3Goal Diff
L
D
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
Municipal 4+
16.3%
2-0
13.8%
7.23
1-0
12.9%
7.73
3-0
9.9%
10.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.32
NO
57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Municipal
61% · 1.65
Draw
29% · 3.44
Aurora
10% · 9.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88
Under 47% · 2.13
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.34
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.26
Under 69% · 1.44
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Municipal
L
L
W
L
W
Aurora
L
D
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Municipal
Stat
Aurora
2.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.67
#1
League Pos.
#4
48 pts
Points
39 pts
2.18
Points / Game
1.77
+27
Goal Diff.
+3
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
1 W
Municipal
Draw
Aurora
8
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Municipal
H
|
22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | +27 | 48 |
| 2 |
Mixco
|
22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | +13 | 44 |
| 3 |
Antigua GFC
|
22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +16 | 42 |
| 4 |
Aurora
A
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +3 | 39 |
| 5 |
Malacateco
|
22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | -5 | 31 |
| 6 |
Xelajú
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |
Achuapa
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |
Mictlán
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 |
Cobán Imperial
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 |
Marquense
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -18 | 23 |
| 11 |
Guastatoya
|
22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -14 | 22 |
| 12 |
Comunicaciones
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 20 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.