Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 March 22, 2026
Motril

Motril

00
FT
Marbelli

Marbelli

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Motril
Rank#1
Played26
Points53
PPG2.04
Goal Diff24
W W W D D
Marbelli
7#Rank
25Played
39Points
1.56PPG
7Goal Diff
W L L W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.09
2-0
11.7%
8.53
1-1
11.4%
8.8
2-1
9.5%
10.58
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.23
NO 55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Motril 53% · 1.9
Draw 33% · 3.07
Marbelli 15% · 6.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.23 Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42 Under 29% · 3.4
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.26 Under 77% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Motril Motril
W W W D D
Marbelli Marbelli
W L L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Motril
Stat
Marbelli
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.81
#1
League Pos.
#7
53 pts
Points
39 pts
2.04
Points / Game
1.56
+24
Goal Diff.
+7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Motril Motril H
29 15 10 4 +23 55
2
Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas
29 16 7 6 +15 55
3
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla
29 14 8 7 +11 50
4
Torre del Mar Torre del Mar
29 13 11 5 +12 50
5
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega
29 12 8 9 -7 44
6
Marbelli Marbelli A
29 11 8 10 +5 41
7
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
29 10 11 8 -1 41
8
Atlético Porcuna Atlético Porcuna
29 12 4 13 +5 40
9
Huétor Vega Huétor Vega
29 11 7 11 +1 40
10
Granada II Granada II
29 9 11 9 +2 38
11
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
29 10 8 11 -2 38
12
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II
29 8 11 10 +0 35
13
Alhaurino Alhaurino
29 8 9 12 -6 33
14
Martos Martos
29 8 9 12 -7 33
15
Mancha Real Mancha Real
29 8 8 13 -7 32
16
Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar
29 8 10 12 -4 31
17
Torreperogil Torreperogil
29 7 6 16 -17 27
18
El Palo El Palo
29 5 8 16 -23 23

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record