Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
April 5, 2026
Móstoles
16:00
VS
Torrejón
Predicted score
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Móstoles
Rank#4
Played28
Points49
PPG1.75
Goal Diff12
D
L
L
W
L
Torrejón
6#Rank
28Played
46Points
1.64PPG
7Goal Diff
D
W
D
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
8.64
2-1
9.1%
11.04
1-0
8.8%
11.35
1-2
7.6%
13.16
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.73
NO
42% · 2.37
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Móstoles
30% · 3.34
Draw
33% · 3.05
Torrejón
37% · 2.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.82
Under 45% · 2.22
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.59
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.08
Under 68% · 1.48
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Móstoles
D
L
L
W
L
Torrejón
D
W
D
D
D
Key Stats Comparison
Móstoles
Stat
Torrejón
1.57
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.31
#4
League Pos.
#6
49 pts
Points
46 pts
1.75
Points / Game
1.64
+12
Goal Diff.
+7
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Móstoles
Draw
Torrejón
4
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
A Madrid III
|
29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | +29 | 54 |
| 2 |
Las Rozas
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +18 | 53 |
| 3 |
Leganés II
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +32 | 50 |
| 4 |
Móstoles
H
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +12 | 49 |
| 5 |
Trival Valderas
|
28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Torrejón
A
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 46 |
| 7 |
Unión Adarve
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 |
Alcobendas Sport
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 |
Villaverde-Boetticher
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 |
Galapagar
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -8 | 39 |
| 11 |
SS Reyes II
|
28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | +5 | 38 |
| 12 |
Pozuelo Alarcón
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 13 |
Alcorcón II
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 |
Tres Cantos
|
29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 |
Villanueva Pardillo
|
29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -14 | 29 |
| 16 |
Carabanchel
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 |
AD Parla
|
28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -24 | 26 |
| 18 |
Racing Madrid
|
29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -28 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.