Non League Premier - Northern
March 28, 2026
Morpeth Town
15:00
VS
Leek Town
Predicted score
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 28 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Morpeth Town
Rank#18
Played34
Points36
PPG1.06
Goal Diff-12
W
W
L
D
D
Leek Town
14#Rank
34Played
40Points
1.18PPG
-9Goal Diff
L
W
D
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.89
1-0
11.4%
8.81
0-1
9.2%
10.92
2-1
8.8%
11.39
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 1.98
NO
50% · 2.02
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Morpeth Town
44% · 2.28
Draw
34% · 2.94
Leek Town
22% · 4.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19
Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4
Under 29% · 3.48
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.13
Under 76% · 1.32
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Morpeth Town
W
W
L
D
D
Leek Town
L
W
D
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Morpeth Town
Stat
Leek Town
1.38
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.12
#18
League Pos.
#14
36 pts
Points
40 pts
1.06
Points / Game
1.18
-12
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
1 W
Morpeth Town
Draw
Leek Town
4
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
United of Manchester
|
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 65 |
| 2 |
Hebburn Town
|
35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | +25 | 64 |
| 3 |
Hednesford Town
|
34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | +21 | 64 |
| 4 |
Rylands
|
35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |
Stockton Town
|
33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | +16 | 55 |
| 6 |
Gainsborough Trinity
|
34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | +11 | 55 |
| 7 |
Lancaster City
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +6 | 51 |
| 8 |
Bamber Bridge
|
34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | +8 | 49 |
| 9 |
Cleethorpes Town
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +9 | 47 |
| 10 |
Warrington Town
|
35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 |
Ashton United
|
34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 |
| 12 |
Guiseley AFC
|
35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | -8 | 43 |
| 13 |
Ilkeston Town
|
34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 |
Leek Town
A
|
34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |
Whitby Town
|
34 | 10 | 11 | 14 | -8 | 38 |
| 16 |
Rushall Olympic
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 17 |
Prescot Cables
|
35 | 7 | 15 | 13 | -8 | 36 |
| 18 |
Morpeth Town
H
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 36 |
| 19 |
Workington
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 |
Hyde United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -12 | 33 |
| 21 |
Stocksbridge Park Steels
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 | 32 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.