First League First League April 4, 2026
Mornar

Mornar

20
FT
Jezero

Jezero

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Mornar
Rank#2
Played26
Points45
PPG1.73
Goal Diff11
W W W L W
Jezero
6#Rank
26Played
34Points
1.31PPG
-1Goal Diff
L L L W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.2%
8.18
1-1
11.1%
8.98
2-0
10.7%
9.32
Mornar 4+
9.9%
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.02
NO 51% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mornar 52% · 1.91
Draw 32% · 3.12
Jezero 16% · 6.4
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.01 Under 50% · 1.99
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.34 Under 26% · 3.91
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.61 Under 72% · 1.38

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mornar Mornar
W W W L W
Jezero Jezero
L L L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Mornar
Stat
Jezero
1.76
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#2
League Pos.
#6
45 pts
Points
34 pts
1.73
Points / Game
1.31
+11
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Mornar
Draw
Jezero
13 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sutjeska Sutjeska
27 17 4 6 +20 55
2
Mornar Mornar H
27 14 6 7 +13 48
3
Dečić Dečić
27 12 7 8 +0 43
4
Petrovac Petrovac
27 11 8 8 +10 41
5
Buducnost Podgorica Buducnost Podgorica
27 11 5 11 +3 38
6
Jezero Jezero A
27 9 7 11 -3 34
7
Mladost DG Mladost DG
27 10 3 14 -7 33
8
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
27 8 8 11 -10 32
9
Bokelj Bokelj
27 5 10 12 -10 25
10
Jedinstvo Jedinstvo
27 6 6 15 -16 24

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record