Queensland NPL Queensland NPL March 21, 2026
Moreton City Excelsior

Moreton City Excelsior

31
FT
Rochedale Rovers

Rochedale Rovers

We predicted

Moreton City Excelsior 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Moreton City Excelsior 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Moreton City Excelsior
Rank#1
Played22
Points47
PPG2.14
Goal Diff25
L W W W W
Rochedale Rovers
#Rank
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Most Likely Scores
Moreton City Excelsior 4+
10.0%
1-1
9.5%
10.49
2-1
8.6%
11.66
1-2
7.8%
12.85
Both Teams To Score
YES 67% · 1.49
NO 33% · 3.04
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Moreton City Excelsior 43% · 2.31
Draw 32% · 3.17
Rochedale Rovers 25% · 3.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 2.99
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.17 Under 14% · 6.96
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24 Under 55% · 1.81

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior
L W W W W
Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers
No form data available

Key Stats Comparison

Moreton City Excelsior
Stat
Rochedale Rovers
1.8
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.63
#1
League Pos.
47 pts
Points
– pts
2.14
Points / Game
+25
Goal Diff.
+

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record