Queensland NPL Queensland NPL March 28, 2026
Moreton City Excelsior

Moreton City Excelsior

30
FT
Eastern Suburbs

Eastern Suburbs

We predicted

Moreton City Excelsior 4+ 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Moreton City Excelsior 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Moreton City Excelsior
Rank#1
Played22
Points47
PPG2.14
Goal Diff25
L W W W W
Eastern Suburbs
4#Rank
22Played
38Points
1.73PPG
15Goal Diff
L W W W L
Most Likely Scores
Moreton City Excelsior 4+
15.6%
2-1
9.0%
11.11
1-1
8.4%
11.9
2-2
6.9%
14.56
Both Teams To Score
YES 69% · 1.45
NO 31% · 3.23
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Moreton City Excelsior 49% · 2.04
Draw 31% · 3.27
Eastern Suburbs 21% · 4.87
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.42
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.14 Under 12% · 8.34
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.02 Under 50% · 1.98

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior
L W W W W
Eastern Suburbs Eastern Suburbs
L W W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Moreton City Excelsior
Stat
Eastern Suburbs
2.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.53
#1
League Pos.
#4
47 pts
Points
38 pts
2.14
Points / Game
1.73
+25
Goal Diff.
+15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record