Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 7, 2026
Moreirense

Moreirense

12
FT
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente

We predicted

0-1 28% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 1–2

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Moreirense
Rank#6
Played20
Points30
PPG1.5
Goal Diff-1
L W L W W
GIL Vicente
5#Rank
20Played
34Points
1.7PPG
13Goal Diff
W L W D D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
16.2%
6.17
0-0
15.7%
6.39
1-1
13.3%
7.53
1-0
12.8%
7.79
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.77
NO 64% · 1.56
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Moreirense 28% · 3.55
Draw 32% · 3.12
GIL Vicente 40% · 2.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.52 Under 72% · 1.4
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.81 Under 45% · 2.24
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.51 Under 88% · 1.13

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Moreirense Moreirense
L W L W W
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
W L W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Moreirense
Stat
GIL Vicente
0.82
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#6
League Pos.
#5
30 pts
Points
34 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.7
-1
Goal Diff.
+13

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
26 20 5 1 +53 65
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente A
27 11 9 7 +11 42
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense H
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
27 9 5 13 -13 32
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
27 7 7 13 -7 28
14
Estrela Estrela
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela
26 4 8 14 -20 20
18
AVS AVS
27 1 8 18 -40 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record