Primeira Liga
May 17, 2026
Moreirense
16:00
VS
AVS
Predicted score
1-0
43% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Moreirense
Rank#7
Played25
Points35
PPG1.4
Goal Diff-4
D
D
L
W
L
AVS
18#Rank
25Played
10Points
0.4PPG
-39Goal Diff
D
D
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.8%
5.63
2-0
14.9%
6.71
0-0
10.6%
9.46
1-1
10.1%
9.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
35% · 2.83
NO
65% · 1.55
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Moreirense
57% · 1.76
Draw
32% · 3.12
AVS
11% · 8.83
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.57
Under 61% · 1.64
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52
Under 34% · 2.91
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.29
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Moreirense
D
D
L
W
L
AVS
D
D
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Moreirense
Stat
AVS
1.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.57
#7
League Pos.
#18
35 pts
Points
10 pts
1.4
Points / Game
0.4
-4
Goal Diff.
-39
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
0 W
Moreirense
Draw
AVS
7
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
H
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
A
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.