Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 29, 2026
Moralo

Moralo

01
FT
Jaraíz

Jaraíz

We predicted

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Moralo
Rank#2
Played27
Points53
PPG1.96
Goal Diff20
W W W W W
Jaraíz
5#Rank
27Played
48Points
1.78PPG
21Goal Diff
W L W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.9%
8.42
1-0
11.0%
9.06
2-1
9.5%
10.54
2-0
8.8%
11.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.9
NO 47% · 2.11
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Moralo 44% · 2.29
Draw 29% · 3.45
Jaraíz 27% · 3.65
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.0 Under 50% · 2.0
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.94
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.58 Under 72% · 1.39

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Moralo Moralo
W W W W W
Jaraíz Jaraíz
W L W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Moralo
Stat
Jaraíz
1.6
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#2
League Pos.
#5
53 pts
Points
48 pts
1.96
Points / Game
1.78
+20
Goal Diff.
+21

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo H
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz A
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record