Ligue 2 Ligue 2 April 4, 2026
Montpellier

Montpellier

22
FT
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes

We predicted

Montpellier 4+ 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Montpellier 4+
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Montpellier
Rank#7
Played28
Points42
PPG1.5
Goal Diff8
D W W D L
Estac Troyes
1#Rank
28Played
57Points
2.04PPG
21Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
Montpellier 4+
10.8%
1-1
9.3%
10.74
2-1
8.6%
11.59
1-2
7.6%
13.18
Both Teams To Score
YES 68% · 1.48
NO 32% · 3.1
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Montpellier 30% · 3.33
Draw 31% · 3.19
Estac Troyes 39% · 2.59
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48 Under 32% · 3.08
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.16 Under 14% · 7.24
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.18 Under 54% · 1.84

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Montpellier Montpellier
D W W D L
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Montpellier
Stat
Estac Troyes
1.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.63
#7
League Pos.
#1
42 pts
Points
57 pts
1.5
Points / Game
2.04
+8
Goal Diff.
+21

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Montpellier
Draw
Estac Troyes
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes A
29 17 7 5 +21 58
2
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
29 16 6 7 +21 54
3
Le Mans Le Mans
28 13 11 4 +12 50
4
RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93
29 13 9 7 +5 48
5
Reims Reims
29 12 11 6 +15 47
6
Rodez Rodez
29 11 12 6 +2 45
7
Montpellier Montpellier H
29 12 7 10 +8 43
8
Annecy Annecy
29 12 6 11 +2 42
9
Dunkerque Dunkerque
29 10 10 9 +9 40
10
Guingamp Guingamp
29 10 9 10 -3 39
11
PAU PAU
28 10 9 9 -4 39
12
Boulogne Boulogne
29 9 8 12 -8 35
13
Grenoble Grenoble
29 6 13 10 -7 31
14
Clermont Foot Clermont Foot
29 7 8 14 -7 29
15
Nancy Nancy
29 7 8 14 -16 29
16
Amiens Amiens
29 6 6 17 -17 24
17
Laval Laval
29 4 12 13 -17 24
18
Bastia Bastia
29 3 12 14 -16 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record