ScoresFooty
Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone E March 28, 2026
Montevarchi Calcio

Montevarchi Calcio

1–1
FT
Poggibonsi

Poggibonsi

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Montevarchi Calcio
Rank#9
Played28
Points39
PPG1.39
Goal Diff-4
D W D W W
Poggibonsi
16#Rank
28Played
24Points
0.86PPG
-17Goal Diff
L D L W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.8%
6.75
1-1
12.3%
8.15
2-0
10.8%
9.23
0-0
10.1%
9.87
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.31
NO 57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Montevarchi Calcio 49% · 2.03
Draw 34% · 2.94
Poggibonsi 17% · 5.96
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.49 Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 3.0
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.05 Under 80% · 1.25
View Full Predictions

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Montevarchi Calcio Montevarchi Calcio
D W D W W
Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
L D L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Montevarchi Calcio
Stat
Poggibonsi
1.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.83
#9
League Pos.
#16
39 pts
Points
24 pts
1.39
Points / Game
0.86
-4
Goal Diff.
-17

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Montevarchi Calcio
Draw
Poggibonsi
11 total goals
5 meetings

Last 3 Meetings

Serie D - Girone E 28 Mar
Serie D - Girone E 16 Nov 2025
Serie D - Girone E 2 Feb 2025

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record