Liga MX Liga MX February 15, 2026
Monterrey

Monterrey

10
FT
Leon

Leon

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Monterrey
Rank#9
Played5
Points7
PPG1.4
Goal Diff4
L D W W L
Leon
16#Rank
5Played
4Points
0.8PPG
-3Goal Diff
L L D L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.82
1-0
11.3%
8.87
0-1
9.5%
10.52
2-1
8.6%
11.63
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.99
NO 50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Monterrey 42% · 2.41
Draw 27% · 3.71
Leon 32% · 3.17
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.22 Under 55% · 1.82
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.43
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.21 Under 76% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Monterrey Monterrey
L D W W L
Leon Leon
L L D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Monterrey
Stat
Leon
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.14
#9
League Pos.
#16
7 pts
Points
4 pts
1.4
Points / Game
0.8
+4
Goal Diff.
-3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
1 W
Monterrey
Draw
Leon
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
12 8 3 1 +11 27
3
Toluca Toluca
12 7 5 0 +12 26
4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
5
Pachuca Pachuca
12 6 4 2 +5 22
6
Atlas Atlas
12 5 3 4 -2 18
7
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
12 5 2 5 +4 17
8
Club America Club America
12 5 2 5 +2 17
9
Monterrey Monterrey H
12 4 2 6 +3 14
10
FC Juarez FC Juarez
11 4 2 5 -2 14
11
Necaxa Necaxa
12 4 1 7 -2 13
12
Leon Leon A
12 4 1 7 -11 13
13
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
12 2 6 4 -2 12
14
Puebla Puebla
12 3 3 6 -5 12
15
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
12 3 2 7 -3 11
16
Mazatlán Mazatlán
12 3 2 7 -9 11
17
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
11 1 5 5 -8 8
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
12 2 2 8 -16 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record