Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
March 22, 2026
Montehermoso
16:30
VS
Moralo
Predicted score
1-1
41% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Montehermoso
Rank#17
Played26
Points19
PPG0.73
Goal Diff-26
D
W
L
W
L
Moralo
2#Rank
26Played
50Points
1.92PPG
19Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.12
0-1
10.4%
9.61
1-2
9.0%
11.16
1-0
8.5%
11.79
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.88
NO
47% · 2.13
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Montehermoso
18% · 5.41
Draw
36% · 2.81
Moralo
46% · 2.17
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.04
Under 51% · 1.96
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.84
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.68
Under 73% · 1.37
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Montehermoso
D
W
L
W
L
Moralo
W
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Montehermoso
Stat
Moralo
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.45
#17
League Pos.
#2
19 pts
Points
50 pts
0.73
Points / Game
1.92
-26
Goal Diff.
+19
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
4 W
Montehermoso
Draw
Moralo
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | +36 | 54 |
| 2 |
Moralo
A
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +19 | 50 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +14 | 47 |
| 4 |
Azuaga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 5 |
Jaraíz
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +18 | 45 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Villanovense
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |
Jerez
|
26 | 7 | 15 | 4 | +10 | 36 |
| 9 |
Villafranca
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 |
Llerenense
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |
Montijo
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
26 | 7 | 12 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -18 | 23 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 |
Calamonte
|
26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -13 | 19 |
| 17 |
Montehermoso
H
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -26 | 19 |
| 18 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -28 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.