Serie B Serie B March 13, 2026
Modena

Modena

30
FT
Spezia

Spezia

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Modena
Rank#6
Played29
Points44
PPG1.52
Goal Diff13
D L L W W
Spezia
17#Rank
29Played
29Points
1.0PPG
-10Goal Diff
W D L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.3%
7.52
1-1
13.0%
7.67
0-0
10.2%
9.78
0-1
10.0%
9.98
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.2
NO 55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Modena 44% · 2.26
Draw 35% · 2.87
Spezia 21% · 4.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.51 Under 60% · 1.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.5 Under 34% · 2.98
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.09 Under 80% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Modena Modena
D L L W W
Spezia Spezia
W D L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Modena
Stat
Spezia
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#6
League Pos.
#17
44 pts
Points
29 pts
1.52
Points / Game
1.0
+13
Goal Diff.
-10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Modena
Draw
Spezia
8 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Venezia Venezia
30 19 7 4 +35 64
2
Monza Monza
30 19 6 5 +24 63
3
Frosinone Frosinone
30 16 11 3 +27 59
4
Palermo Palermo
30 16 9 5 +24 57
5
Catanzaro Catanzaro
30 14 10 6 +13 52
6
Modena Modena H
30 13 8 9 +16 47
7
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
30 9 14 7 -2 41
8
Cesena Cesena
30 11 7 12 -5 40
9
Sudtirol Sudtirol
29 8 13 8 +2 37
10
Padova Padova
30 8 10 12 -8 34
11
Carrarese Carrarese
30 7 12 11 -6 33
12
Avellino Avellino
29 8 9 12 -15 33
13
Empoli Empoli
30 7 11 12 -6 32
14
Sampdoria Sampdoria
30 7 10 13 -11 31
15
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella
29 7 10 12 -13 31
16
Mantova Mantova
30 8 7 15 -14 31
17
Bari Bari
30 7 10 13 -16 31
18
Spezia Spezia A
30 7 8 15 -13 29
19
Reggiana Reggiana
30 7 8 15 -16 29
20
Pescara Pescara
29 5 10 14 -16 25

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record