Birinci Dasta Birinci Dasta April 3, 2026
Mingəçevir

Mingəçevir

52
FT
Safa Baku

Safa Baku

We predicted

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 5–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Mingəçevir
Rank#4
Played19
Points33
PPG1.74
Goal Diff13
D L W W D
Safa Baku
1#Rank
19Played
45Points
2.37PPG
30Goal Diff
W W W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.1
0-1
9.5%
10.52
1-0
9.0%
11.11
1-2
8.5%
11.81
Both Teams To Score
YES 54% · 1.84
NO 46% · 2.19
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Mingəçevir 25% · 3.97
Draw 34% · 2.98
Safa Baku 41% · 2.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.01 Under 50% · 1.99
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.93
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.59 Under 72% · 1.39

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mingəçevir Mingəçevir
D L W W D
Safa Baku Safa Baku
W W W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Mingəçevir
Stat
Safa Baku
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.37
#4
League Pos.
#1
33 pts
Points
45 pts
1.74
Points / Game
2.37
+13
Goal Diff.
+30

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Safa Baku Safa Baku A
20 13 6 1 +27 45
2
Baku Sportinq Baku Sportinq
20 10 7 3 +12 37
3
Səbail Səbail
20 10 7 3 +12 37
4
Mingəçevir Mingəçevir H
20 10 6 4 +16 36
5
Şahdağ Şahdağ
20 8 4 8 +2 28
6
MOIK MOIK
20 7 5 8 -4 26
7
Zaqatala Zaqatala
20 7 4 9 -3 25
8
Cəbrayıl Cəbrayıl
20 5 2 13 -9 17
9
Difai Ağsu Difai Ağsu
20 3 4 13 -21 13
10
Şimal Şimal
20 3 3 14 -32 12

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record