Birinci Dasta Birinci Dasta March 12, 2026
Mingəçevir

Mingəçevir

01
FT
Səbail

Səbail

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 12 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Mingəçevir
Rank#3
Played17
Points32
PPG1.88
Goal Diff14
W W D D W
Səbail
4#Rank
17Played
30Points
1.76PPG
10Goal Diff
W D L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.89
1-0
10.9%
9.14
0-1
9.3%
10.78
2-1
8.7%
11.55
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.96
NO 49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Mingəçevir 29% · 3.46
Draw 34% · 2.94
Səbail 37% · 2.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.16 Under 54% · 1.86
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.54
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.04 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mingəçevir Mingəçevir
W W D D W
Səbail Səbail
W D L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Mingəçevir
Stat
Səbail
1.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#3
League Pos.
#4
32 pts
Points
30 pts
1.88
Points / Game
1.76
+14
Goal Diff.
+10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
4 W
Mingəçevir
Draw
Səbail
9 total goals
4 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Safa Baku Safa Baku
18 12 6 0 +29 42
2
Baku Sportinq Baku Sportinq
18 10 6 2 +13 36
3
Səbail Səbail A
18 9 6 3 +11 33
4
Mingəçevir Mingəçevir H
18 9 5 4 +13 32
5
Şahdağ Şahdağ
18 7 4 7 +2 25
6
MOIK MOIK
18 6 4 8 -5 22
7
Zaqatala Zaqatala
17 6 3 8 -3 21
8
Cəbrayıl Cəbrayıl
17 4 1 12 -9 13
9
Difai Ağsu Difai Ağsu
18 3 3 12 -20 12
10
Şimal Şimal
18 3 2 13 -31 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record