Liga Premier Serie A Liga Premier Serie A March 14, 2026
Mineros de Fresnillo

Mineros de Fresnillo

31
FT
Leones Negros

Leones Negros

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Mineros de Fresnillo
Rank#8
Played22
Points32
PPG1.45
Goal Diff-6
L W L W D
Leones Negros
5#Rank
22Played
43Points
1.95PPG
14Goal Diff
W W W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.31
1-0
8.9%
11.22
0-1
8.5%
11.74
2-1
8.5%
11.75
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.78
NO 44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Mineros de Fresnillo 23% · 4.31
Draw 35% · 2.83
Leones Negros 42% · 2.41
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92 Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.21
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.34 Under 70% · 1.43

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mineros de Fresnillo Mineros de Fresnillo
L W L W D
Leones Negros Leones Negros
W W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Mineros de Fresnillo
Stat
Leones Negros
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.35
#8
League Pos.
#5
32 pts
Points
43 pts
1.45
Points / Game
1.95
-6
Goal Diff.
+14

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Racing de Veracruz Racing de Veracruz
21 19 2 0 +39 64
1
Durango Durango
22 18 1 3 +46 64
1
Real Apodaca Real Apodaca
23 19 2 2 +27 60
2
Deportiva Venados Deportiva Venados
21 12 4 5 +28 43
2
Cimarrones Cimarrones
23 13 6 4 +22 46
2
FC Santiago FC Santiago
22 12 5 5 +11 42
3
Celaya Celaya
21 12 2 7 +14 41
3
Tigres de Alica Tigres de Alica
23 14 3 6 +17 46
3
Deportivo Zap Deportivo Zap
23 10 5 8 +14 40
4
Tecos Tecos
22 13 3 6 +15 44
4
Inter Playa del Carmen Inter Playa del Carmen
22 12 3 7 +3 38
4
Zacatepec 1948 Zacatepec 1948
23 10 8 5 +10 39
5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros Gavilanes FC Matamoros
22 9 5 8 +6 33
5
Tapachula Tapachula
21 10 0 11 +10 35
5
Leones Negros Leones Negros A
23 13 2 8 +12 43
6
Pioneros de Cancún Pioneros de Cancún
21 10 1 10 +1 33
6
Tritons Vallarta Tritons Vallarta
22 13 1 8 +4 40
6
Lobos ULMX Lobos ULMX
23 9 6 8 +5 33
7
Los Cabos United Los Cabos United
23 11 2 10 +1 36
7
Calor de San Pedro Calor de San Pedro
21 8 7 6 +2 32
7
Jaguares de Chiapas Jaguares de Chiapas
21 9 2 10 +3 32
8
Correcaminos UAT II Correcaminos UAT II
23 8 6 9 +2 32
8
Mineros de Fresnillo Mineros de Fresnillo H
23 10 3 10 -4 35
8
Montañeses Montañeses
21 10 2 9 +2 31
9
Guerreros Guerreros
22 7 5 10 -1 29
9
Chilpancingo Chilpancingo
23 7 8 8 -6 29
9
Héroes de Zaci Héroes de Zaci
20 8 2 10 -11 27
10
Sporting Canamy Sporting Canamy
22 5 8 9 -6 26
10
Ensenada Ensenada
23 8 2 13 -15 28
10
Chapulineros Chapulineros
21 5 6 10 -10 21
11
UA Zacatecas UA Zacatecas
22 6 4 12 -18 23
11
Cordobés Cordobés
23 7 5 11 -2 25
11
Cañoneros Marina Cañoneros Marina
20 6 1 13 -22 19
12
Zitacuaro Zitacuaro
22 5 9 8 -8 24
12
Reboceros La Piedad Reboceros La Piedad
22 6 1 15 -23 20
12
Neza Neza
21 5 2 14 -33 19
13
Acatlan Acatlan
22 4 1 17 -31 15
13
Mexicali FC Mexicali FC
21 3 3 15 -24 13
13
Ciervos Ciervos
23 4 4 15 -24 17
14
Colima Colima
22 3 2 17 -25 12
14
Atletico Hidalgo Atletico Hidalgo
23 4 4 15 -31 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record