Championship Championship March 10, 2026
Millwall

Millwall

10
FT
Derby

Derby

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 10 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Millwall
Rank#3
Played36
Points65
PPG1.81
Goal Diff9
W W W L W
Derby
7#Rank
36Played
54Points
1.5PPG
7Goal Diff
W W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.82
1-0
11.4%
8.76
0-1
9.4%
10.6
2-1
8.7%
11.55
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.0
NO 50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Millwall 43% · 2.31
Draw 34% · 2.93
Derby 23% · 4.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.23 Under 55% · 1.82
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.42
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.23 Under 76% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Millwall Millwall
W W W L W
Derby Derby
W W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Millwall
Stat
Derby
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.12
#3
League Pos.
#7
65 pts
Points
54 pts
1.81
Points / Game
1.5
+9
Goal Diff.
+7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
2 D
0 W
Millwall
Draw
Derby
9 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
40 25 8 7 +42 83
2
Millwall Millwall H
40 21 9 10 +10 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
40 20 11 9 +21 71
4
Ipswich Ipswich
38 19 12 7 +28 69
5
Hull City Hull City
40 20 7 13 +5 67
6
Wrexham Wrexham
40 17 13 10 +9 64
7
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
8
Derby Derby A
40 17 9 14 +7 60
9
Watford Watford
40 14 14 12 +3 56
10
QPR QPR
40 16 8 16 -5 56
11
Norwich Norwich
40 16 7 17 +6 55
12
Stoke City Stoke City
40 15 9 16 +5 54
13
Bristol City Bristol City
40 15 9 16 +0 54
14
Birmingham Birmingham
40 14 11 15 -2 53
15
Preston Preston
40 13 14 13 -4 53
16
Swansea Swansea
40 15 8 17 -5 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
40 15 6 19 +0 51
18
Charlton Charlton
40 12 12 16 -11 48
19
Blackburn Blackburn
40 12 10 18 -12 46
20
West Brom West Brom
40 11 11 18 -14 44
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
39 10 11 18 -17 41
22
Leicester Leicester
40 11 13 16 -9 40
23
Oxford United Oxford United
40 9 13 18 -15 40
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
40 1 9 30 -57 -6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record