Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 March 15, 2026
Mijas Las Lagunas

Mijas Las Lagunas

01
FT
Arenas Armilla

Arenas Armilla

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Mijas Las Lagunas
Rank#1
Played25
Points51
PPG2.04
Goal Diff16
D L W W D
Arenas Armilla
3#Rank
24Played
43Points
1.79PPG
13Goal Diff
W W D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.7%
5.65
0-0
14.3%
7.01
1-1
12.5%
7.99
2-0
11.0%
9.11
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.78
NO 64% · 1.56
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mijas Las Lagunas 33% · 2.99
Draw 36% · 2.79
Arenas Armilla 31% · 3.26
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.24 Under 69% · 1.45
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.73 Under 42% · 2.38
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
87%
Over 13% · 7.5 Under 87% · 1.15

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas
D L W W D
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla
W W D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Mijas Las Lagunas
Stat
Arenas Armilla
1.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.71
#1
League Pos.
#3
51 pts
Points
43 pts
2.04
Points / Game
1.79
+16
Goal Diff.
+13

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Motril Motril
26 15 8 3 +24 53
2
Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas H
26 15 6 5 +15 51
3
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla A
25 13 7 5 +14 46
4
Torre del Mar Torre del Mar
25 11 9 5 +10 42
5
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 10 10 6 +4 40
6
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega
26 11 7 8 -5 40
7
Marbelli Marbelli
25 11 6 8 +7 39
8
Huétor Vega Huétor Vega
26 10 6 10 +0 36
9
Atlético Porcuna Atlético Porcuna
25 11 2 12 +5 35
10
Granada II Granada II
26 8 11 7 +2 35
11
Martos Martos
26 7 9 10 -5 30
12
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II
25 7 9 9 -2 30
13
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
25 8 6 11 -5 30
14
Alhaurino Alhaurino
26 7 8 11 -6 29
15
Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar
26 7 8 11 -3 29
16
Mancha Real Mancha Real
25 6 6 13 -10 24
17
El Palo El Palo
26 4 8 14 -23 20
18
Torreperogil Torreperogil
25 3 6 16 -22 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record