Championship
April 25, 2026
Middlesbrough
14:00
VS
Watford
Predicted score
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 25 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Middlesbrough
Rank#2
Played36
Points69
PPG1.92
Goal Diff23
W
W
D
D
L
Watford
9#Rank
35Played
51Points
1.46PPG
4Goal Diff
W
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.1%
5.84
2-0
12.4%
8.07
0-0
11.9%
8.44
1-1
11.8%
8.49
Both Teams To Score
YES
38% · 2.63
NO
62% · 1.61
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Middlesbrough
51% · 1.95
Draw
34% · 2.93
Watford
15% · 6.82
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.79
Under 64% · 1.56
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59
Under 37% · 2.69
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.98
Under 83% · 1.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Middlesbrough
W
W
D
D
L
Watford
W
L
W
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Middlesbrough
Stat
Watford
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.69
#2
League Pos.
#9
69 pts
Points
51 pts
1.92
Points / Game
1.46
+23
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
2 W
Middlesbrough
Draw
Watford
4
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | +41 | 80 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
H
|
39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | +22 | 71 |
| 3 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +28 | 69 |
| 4 |
Millwall
|
39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 69 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | +5 | 66 |
| 6 |
Southampton
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 7 |
Wrexham
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +9 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
|
39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | +8 | 60 |
| 9 |
Watford
A
|
39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | +4 | 56 |
| 10 |
Norwich
|
39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | +6 | 54 |
| 11 |
Birmingham
|
39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 |
Preston
|
39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 |
Swansea
|
39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 |
Stoke City
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | +3 | 51 |
| 16 |
Bristol City
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | +0 | 50 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | -55 | -6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.