Liga Nacional Liga Nacional March 11, 2026
Mictlán

Mictlán

20
FT
Aurora

Aurora

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Mictlán
Rank#8
Played22
Points24
PPG1.09
Goal Diff-2
W L D W L
Aurora
4#Rank
22Played
39Points
1.77PPG
3Goal Diff
D D D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.5%
6.88
1-1
11.9%
8.4
2-0
11.2%
8.9
0-0
9.4%
10.64
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.27
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mictlán 37% · 2.73
Draw 33% · 2.99
Aurora 30% · 3.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.38 Under 58% · 1.73
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.46 Under 32% · 3.16
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.69 Under 79% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mictlán Mictlán
W L D W L
Aurora Aurora
D D D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Mictlán
Stat
Aurora
1.55
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#8
League Pos.
#4
24 pts
Points
39 pts
1.09
Points / Game
1.77
-2
Goal Diff.
+3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Mictlán
Draw
Aurora
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Municipal Municipal
22 14 6 2 +27 48
2
Mixco Mixco
22 14 2 6 +13 44
3
Antigua GFC Antigua GFC
22 13 3 6 +16 42
4
Aurora Aurora A
22 11 6 5 +3 39
5
Malacateco Malacateco
22 10 1 11 -5 31
6
Xelajú Xelajú
22 8 4 10 +3 28
7
Achuapa Achuapa
22 6 7 9 -7 25
8
Mictlán Mictlán H
22 6 6 10 -2 24
9
Cobán Imperial Cobán Imperial
22 6 5 11 -5 23
10
Marquense Marquense
22 6 5 11 -18 23
11
Guastatoya Guastatoya
22 6 4 12 -14 22
12
Comunicaciones Comunicaciones
22 5 5 12 -11 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record