Ligue 1
May 9, 2026
Metz
19:00
VS
Lorient
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 9 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Metz
Rank#18
Played25
Points13
PPG0.52
Goal Diff-34
L
L
L
L
D
Lorient
10#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
-4Goal Diff
D
D
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.89
0-1
10.6%
9.45
1-0
9.4%
10.6
1-2
8.5%
11.74
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.94
NO
48% · 2.07
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Metz
24% · 4.18
Draw
34% · 2.94
Lorient
42% · 2.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.14
Under 53% · 1.87
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39
Under 28% · 3.59
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.98
Under 75% · 1.34
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Metz
L
L
L
L
D
Lorient
D
D
D
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Metz
Stat
Lorient
1.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.34
#18
League Pos.
#10
13 pts
Points
34 pts
0.52
Points / Game
1.36
-34
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Metz
Draw
Lorient
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +36 | 60 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | +30 | 59 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 40 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +6 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
A
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
H
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.