National League - North National League - North March 14, 2026
Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

23
FT
Spennymoor Town

Spennymoor Town

We predicted

Merthyr Town 4+ 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Merthyr Town 4+
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Merthyr Town
Rank#3
Played38
Points66
PPG1.74
Goal Diff18
L W L W L
Spennymoor Town
13#Rank
35Played
47Points
1.34PPG
-15Goal Diff
L D L W L
Most Likely Scores
Merthyr Town 4+
17.2%
2-1
9.5%
10.49
1-1
8.6%
11.64
2-0
7.2%
13.81
Both Teams To Score
YES 65% · 1.54
NO 35% · 2.87
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Merthyr Town 49% · 2.06
Draw 26% · 3.82
Spennymoor Town 25% · 3.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.46 Under 32% · 3.15
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15 Under 13% · 7.49
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.15 Under 53% · 1.87

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Merthyr Town Merthyr Town
L W L W L
Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town
L D L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Merthyr Town
Stat
Spennymoor Town
2.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.32
#3
League Pos.
#13
66 pts
Points
47 pts
1.74
Points / Game
1.34
+18
Goal Diff.
-15

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
2 W
Merthyr Town
Draw
Spennymoor Town
15 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record