Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 March 28, 2026
Mérida AD

Mérida AD

21
FT
Racing Ferrol

Racing Ferrol

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Mérida AD
Rank#11
Played29
Points41
PPG1.41
Goal Diff-1
D L D D W
Racing Ferrol
9#Rank
29Played
42Points
1.45PPG
1Goal Diff
D D W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.08
1-0
11.5%
8.68
2-1
9.2%
10.93
2-0
8.5%
11.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.97
NO 49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Mérida AD 46% · 2.18
Draw 34% · 2.97
Racing Ferrol 21% · 4.88
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13 Under 53% · 1.88
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.61
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.95 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mérida AD Mérida AD
D L D D W
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
D D W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Mérida AD
Stat
Racing Ferrol
1.48
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#11
League Pos.
#9
41 pts
Points
42 pts
1.41
Points / Game
1.45
-1
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
31 19 8 4 +33 65
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
31 15 9 7 +5 54
3
Ponferradina Ponferradina
31 13 8 10 +10 47
4
Barakaldo Barakaldo
31 12 11 8 +8 47
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
30 11 13 6 +13 46
6
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
31 13 7 11 +5 46
7
Zamora Zamora
31 12 10 9 +5 46
8
Lugo Lugo
31 11 12 8 +0 45
9
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
31 12 8 11 +2 44
10
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
31 12 8 11 -2 44
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD H
31 12 8 11 -3 44
12
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol A
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
30 12 5 13 -5 41
14
Real Avilés Real Avilés
31 10 7 14 -8 37
15
CF Talavera CF Talavera
31 9 8 14 -8 35
16
Guadalajara Guadalajara
31 9 8 14 -11 35
17
Ourense CF Ourense CF
31 8 10 13 -3 34
18
Cacereño Cacereño
31 6 13 12 -12 31
19
Osasuna II Osasuna II
31 7 9 15 -14 30
20
Arenteiro Arenteiro
31 6 8 17 -14 26

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record