Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 March 22, 2026
Melilla

Melilla

21
FT
Lorca Deportiva

Lorca Deportiva

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Melilla
Rank#16
Played27
Points26
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-4
L L D L L
Lorca Deportiva
8#Rank
27Played
42Points
1.56PPG
1Goal Diff
L W L W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.1%
6.64
1-1
13.1%
7.66
0-0
12.0%
8.32
0-1
10.4%
9.6
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.42
NO 59% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Melilla 31% · 3.21
Draw 35% · 2.82
Lorca Deportiva 33% · 2.99
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.81 Under 64% · 1.55
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6 Under 37% · 2.67
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.07 Under 84% · 1.2

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Melilla Melilla
L L D L L
Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva
L W L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Melilla
Stat
Lorca Deportiva
1.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.87
#16
League Pos.
#8
26 pts
Points
42 pts
0.96
Points / Game
1.56
-4
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924
30 14 11 5 +12 53
2
Ucam Murcia Ucam Murcia
29 15 7 7 +11 52
3
Xerez Xerez
29 15 6 8 +7 51
4
Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva
30 14 9 7 +17 51
5
Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera
29 15 5 9 +12 50
6
Águilas Águilas
29 14 7 8 +13 49
7
Real Jaén Real Jaén
30 13 9 8 +7 48
8
Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva A
29 12 7 10 +0 43
9
Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo
30 10 13 7 -3 43
10
Yeclano Yeclano
30 12 4 14 +0 40
11
La Unión Atlético La Unión Atlético
30 11 6 13 +0 39
12
Antoniano Antoniano
30 11 6 13 -3 39
13
Xerez Deportivo Xerez Deportivo
29 8 10 11 -4 34
14
Estepona Estepona
29 9 6 14 -7 33
15
Puente Genil Puente Genil
29 8 9 12 -9 33
16
Melilla Melilla H
29 7 11 11 +0 32
17
Almería II Almería II
29 4 7 18 -23 19
18
Málaga II Málaga II
30 4 5 21 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record