Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 March 28, 2026
Melilla

Melilla

30
FT
Almería II

Almería II

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Melilla
Rank#16
Played28
Points29
PPG1.04
Goal Diff-3
W L L D L
Almería II
17#Rank
28Played
19Points
0.68PPG
-20Goal Diff
L L D L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.7%
6.38
1-1
11.9%
8.42
2-0
11.8%
8.47
0-0
10.4%
9.62
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.42
NO 59% · 1.7
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Melilla 51% · 1.96
Draw 34% · 2.97
Almería II 15% · 6.54
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.54 Under 61% · 1.65
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51 Under 34% · 2.95
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.19 Under 81% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Melilla Melilla
W L L D L
Almería II Almería II
L L D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Melilla
Stat
Almería II
1.51
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.76
#16
League Pos.
#17
29 pts
Points
19 pts
1.04
Points / Game
0.68
-3
Goal Diff.
-20

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Melilla
Draw
Almería II
5 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924
30 14 11 5 +12 53
2
Ucam Murcia Ucam Murcia
29 15 7 7 +11 52
3
Xerez Xerez
29 15 6 8 +7 51
4
Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva
30 14 9 7 +17 51
5
Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera
29 15 5 9 +12 50
6
Águilas Águilas
29 14 7 8 +13 49
7
Real Jaén Real Jaén
30 13 9 8 +7 48
8
Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva
29 12 7 10 +0 43
9
Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo
30 10 13 7 -3 43
10
Yeclano Yeclano
30 12 4 14 +0 40
11
La Unión Atlético La Unión Atlético
30 11 6 13 +0 39
12
Antoniano Antoniano
30 11 6 13 -3 39
13
Xerez Deportivo Xerez Deportivo
29 8 10 11 -4 34
14
Estepona Estepona
29 9 6 14 -7 33
15
Puente Genil Puente Genil
29 8 9 12 -9 33
16
Melilla Melilla H
29 7 11 11 +0 32
17
Almería II Almería II A
29 4 7 18 -23 19
18
Málaga II Málaga II
30 4 5 21 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record