A-League A-League April 5, 2026
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

01
FT
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

We predicted

Melbourne Victory 4+ 55% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Melbourne Victory 4+
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 55%
Team Context
Melbourne Victory
Rank#4
Played22
Points35
PPG1.59
Goal Diff10
W W D D W
Wellington Phoenix
8#Rank
22Played
27Points
1.23PPG
-8Goal Diff
W W D L L
Most Likely Scores
Melbourne Victory 4+
30.3%
2-1
8.6%
11.59
3-1
8.3%
12.02
2-0
7.2%
13.89
Both Teams To Score
YES 66% · 1.52
NO 34% · 2.93
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Melbourne Victory 61% · 1.64
Draw 27% · 3.68
Wellington Phoenix 12% · 8.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
91%
Over 91% · 1.1 Under 9% · 11.43
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75 Under 43% · 2.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
W W D D W
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
W W D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Melbourne Victory
Stat
Wellington Phoenix
2.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.2
#4
League Pos.
#8
35 pts
Points
27 pts
1.59
Points / Game
1.23
+10
Goal Diff.
-8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
23 14 1 8 +12 43
2
Auckland Auckland
23 11 7 5 +14 40
3
Adelaide United Adelaide United
23 10 6 7 +7 36
4
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory H
23 10 5 8 +9 35
5
Sydney Sydney
23 10 4 9 +6 34
6
Macarthur Macarthur
23 8 7 8 -7 31
7
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix A
23 8 6 9 -7 30
8
Melbourne City Melbourne City
22 7 8 7 -3 29
9
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
22 7 7 8 -3 28
10
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
23 6 7 10 -7 25
11
Perth Glory Perth Glory
23 6 6 11 -10 24
12
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
23 5 6 12 -11 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record