Liga MX
April 23, 2026
Mazatlán
01:00
VS
Toluca
Predicted score
1-1
41% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, April 23 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Mazatlán
Rank#14
Played10
Points10
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-7
W
L
W
D
W
Toluca
2#Rank
10Played
24Points
2.4PPG
12Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
8.96
0-1
10.3%
9.68
1-2
9.8%
10.21
Toluca 4+
9.8%
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.83
NO
45% · 2.2
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Mazatlán
18% · 5.55
Draw
32% · 3.11
Toluca
50% · 2.01
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.86
Under 46% · 2.16
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29
Under 23% · 4.43
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.18
Under 69% · 1.46
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Mazatlán
W
L
W
D
W
Toluca
W
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Mazatlán
Stat
Toluca
1.08
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.75
#14
League Pos.
#2
10 pts
Points
24 pts
1.0
Points / Game
2.4
-7
Goal Diff.
+12
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
4 W
Mazatlán
Draw
Toluca
19
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.