Liga MX Liga MX March 7, 2026
Mazatlán

Mazatlán

42
FT
Leon

Leon

We predicted

1-0 30% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 30%
Team Context
Mazatlán
Rank#16
Played9
Points7
PPG0.78
Goal Diff-9
L W D W L
Leon
13#Rank
8Played
10Points
1.25PPG
-2Goal Diff
W W L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.0%
5.56
0-0
13.0%
7.72
2-0
12.5%
8.01
1-1
11.8%
8.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.77
NO 64% · 1.56
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mazatlán 47% · 2.14
Draw 31% · 3.26
Leon 23% · 4.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 2.99 Under 67% · 1.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65 Under 39% · 2.53
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.65 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mazatlán Mazatlán
L W D W L
Leon Leon
W W L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Mazatlán
Stat
Leon
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.66
#16
League Pos.
#13
7 pts
Points
10 pts
0.78
Points / Game
1.25
-9
Goal Diff.
-2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
3 D
1 W
Mazatlán
Draw
Leon
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
12 8 3 1 +11 27
3
Toluca Toluca
12 7 5 0 +12 26
4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
5
Pachuca Pachuca
12 6 4 2 +5 22
6
Atlas Atlas
12 5 3 4 -2 18
7
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
12 5 2 5 +4 17
8
Club America Club America
12 5 2 5 +2 17
9
Monterrey Monterrey
12 4 2 6 +3 14
10
FC Juarez FC Juarez
11 4 2 5 -2 14
11
Necaxa Necaxa
12 4 1 7 -2 13
12
Leon Leon A
12 4 1 7 -11 13
13
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
12 2 6 4 -2 12
14
Puebla Puebla
12 3 3 6 -5 12
15
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
12 3 2 7 -3 11
16
Mazatlán Mazatlán H
12 3 2 7 -9 11
17
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
11 1 5 5 -8 8
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
12 2 2 8 -16 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record