FKF Premier League FKF Premier League March 14, 2026
Mathare United

Mathare United

41
FT
AFC Leopards

AFC Leopards

We predicted

0-1 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 4–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Mathare United
Rank#12
Played23
Points26
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-5
L L D W L
AFC Leopards
2#Rank
22Played
43Points
1.95PPG
16Goal Diff
W L W D W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.5%
6.44
1-1
13.0%
7.67
0-0
12.6%
7.94
1-0
10.6%
9.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.48
NO 60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mathare United 19% · 5.23
Draw 36% · 2.81
AFC Leopards 45% · 2.21
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.92 Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63 Under 39% · 2.59
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.41 Under 84% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mathare United Mathare United
L L D W L
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
W L W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Mathare United
Stat
AFC Leopards
0.84
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.23
#12
League Pos.
#2
26 pts
Points
43 pts
1.13
Points / Game
1.95
-5
Goal Diff.
+16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
GOR Mahia GOR Mahia
24 16 5 3 +25 53
2
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards A
23 12 7 4 +13 43
3
Shabana Shabana
24 11 7 6 +4 40
4
Homeboyz Homeboyz
23 10 8 5 +9 38
5
Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
24 10 7 7 +6 37
6
Police Police
24 9 10 5 +4 37
7
Tusker Tusker
24 11 4 9 -1 37
8
KCB KCB
24 9 7 8 -1 34
9
Nairobi United Nairobi United
21 9 6 6 +6 33
10
Bandari Bandari
24 7 12 5 +2 33
11
Mara Sugar Mara Sugar
23 6 11 6 +0 29
12
Mathare United Mathare United H
24 8 5 11 -2 29
13
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
24 6 10 8 -7 28
14
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
24 5 10 9 -9 25
15
Bidco United Bidco United
24 4 9 11 -12 21
16
APS Bomet APS Bomet
24 4 8 12 -9 20
17
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
24 4 7 13 -9 19
18
Sofapaka Sofapaka
24 3 5 16 -19 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record