Ligue 1
May 16, 2026
Marseille
19:00
VS
Rennes
Predicted score
Marseille 4+
41% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 16 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Marseille
Rank#3
Played25
Points46
PPG1.84
Goal Diff19
W
W
L
D
L
Rennes
5#Rank
25Played
43Points
1.72PPG
7Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Marseille 4+
17.7%
2-1
9.8%
10.25
1-1
8.7%
11.45
2-0
8.2%
12.17
Both Teams To Score
YES
62% · 1.61
NO
38% · 2.63
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Marseille
50% · 1.98
Draw
26% · 3.86
Rennes
24% · 4.23
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51
Under 34% · 2.96
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.17
Under 15% · 6.88
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.26
Under 56% · 1.79
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Marseille
W
W
L
D
L
Rennes
W
W
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Marseille
Stat
Rennes
2.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#3
League Pos.
#5
46 pts
Points
43 pts
1.84
Points / Game
1.72
+19
Goal Diff.
+7
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
Marseille
Draw
Rennes
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +36 | 60 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | +30 | 59 |
| 3 |
Marseille
H
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 7 |
Rennes
A
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 40 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +6 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.