Ligue 1
April 10, 2026
Marseille
19:05
VS
Metz
Predicted score
Marseille 4+
62% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
62%
Team Context
Marseille
Rank#3
Played25
Points46
PPG1.84
Goal Diff19
W
W
L
D
L
Metz
18#Rank
25Played
13Points
0.52PPG
-34Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
Marseille 4+
39.1%
3-0
12.6%
7.96
2-0
11.4%
8.8
3-1
7.7%
12.92
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.26
NO
56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Marseille
70% · 1.42
Draw
23% · 4.27
Metz
6% · 15.65
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.82
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
90%
Over 90% · 1.11
Under 10% · 9.81
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89
Under 47% · 2.12
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Marseille
W
W
L
D
L
Metz
L
L
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Marseille
Stat
Metz
3.32
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.62
#3
League Pos.
#18
46 pts
Points
13 pts
1.84
Points / Game
0.52
+19
Goal Diff.
-34
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
3 D
0 W
Marseille
Draw
Metz
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +36 | 60 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | +30 | 59 |
| 3 |
Marseille
H
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 40 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +6 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
A
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.