Ligue 1 Ligue 1 March 1, 2026
Marseille

Marseille

32
FT
Lyon

Lyon

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Marseille
Rank#4
Played23
Points40
PPG1.74
Goal Diff17
L D L D W
Lyon
3#Rank
23Played
45Points
1.96PPG
14Goal Diff
L W W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.51
1-2
8.7%
11.52
0-1
8.6%
11.68
2-1
8.1%
12.41
Both Teams To Score
YES 58% · 1.74
NO 42% · 2.36
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Marseille 35% · 2.85
Draw 25% · 4.0
Lyon 40% · 2.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.85 Under 46% · 2.18
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.29 Under 22% · 4.48
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.14 Under 68% · 1.47

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Marseille Marseille
L D L D W
Lyon Lyon
L W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Marseille
Stat
Lyon
1.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.48
#4
League Pos.
#3
40 pts
Points
45 pts
1.74
Points / Game
1.96
+17
Goal Diff.
+14

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Marseille
Draw
Lyon
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
26 19 3 4 +36 60
2
Lens Lens
27 19 2 6 +30 59
3
Marseille Marseille H
27 15 4 8 +19 49
4
Lyon Lyon A
27 14 5 8 +12 47
5
Lille Lille
27 14 5 8 +8 47
6
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
7
Rennes Rennes
27 12 8 7 +6 44
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
27 11 7 9 +10 40
9
Toulouse Toulouse
27 10 7 10 +6 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
27 10 6 11 -5 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice
27 7 6 14 -20 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record