Ligue 1 Ligue 1 January 24, 2026
Marseille

Marseille

31
FT
Lens

Lens

We predicted

1-1 21% confidence
View full match details Saturday, January 24 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 21%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.29
0-1
11.7%
8.52
1-2
9.4%
10.62
0-2
9.2%
10.91
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.97
NO 49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Marseille 25% · 4.01
Draw 25% · 3.94
Lens 50% · 2.01
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09 Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.71
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.83 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Marseille
Stat
Lens
1.03
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.56

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Marseille
Draw
Lens
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
25 18 3 4 +32 57
2
Lens Lens A
26 18 2 6 +26 56
3
Marseille Marseille H
26 15 4 7 +20 49
4
Lyon Lyon
26 14 5 7 +13 47
5
Lille Lille
26 13 5 8 +7 44
6
Monaco Monaco
26 13 4 9 +8 43
7
Rennes Rennes
26 12 7 7 +6 43
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
26 10 7 9 +9 37
9
Lorient Lorient
26 9 10 7 -3 37
10
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
26 10 6 10 -2 36
11
Toulouse Toulouse
26 9 7 10 +5 34
12
Angers Angers
26 9 5 12 -9 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
26 6 10 10 -12 28
14
Le Havre Le Havre
26 6 9 11 -12 27
15
Nice Nice
26 7 6 13 -16 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
26 4 7 15 -17 19
17
Nantes Nantes
25 4 5 16 -20 17
18
Metz Metz
26 3 4 19 -35 13

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record