Ligue 1 Ligue 1 March 13, 2026
Marseille

Marseille

10
FT
Auxerre

Auxerre

We predicted

Marseille 4+ 45% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Marseille 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 45%
Team Context
Marseille
Rank#3
Played25
Points46
PPG1.84
Goal Diff19
W W L D L
Auxerre
16#Rank
25Played
19Points
0.76PPG
-16Goal Diff
D D L W D
Most Likely Scores
Marseille 4+
17.9%
2-0
13.0%
7.67
1-0
11.7%
8.55
3-0
9.7%
10.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.17
NO 54% · 1.85
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Marseille 61% · 1.64
Draw 29% · 3.48
Auxerre 10% · 9.59
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.77 Under 44% · 2.29
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.82
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.96 Under 66% · 1.51

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Marseille Marseille
W W L D L
Auxerre Auxerre
D D L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Marseille
Stat
Auxerre
2.23
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.73
#3
League Pos.
#16
46 pts
Points
19 pts
1.84
Points / Game
0.76
+19
Goal Diff.
-16

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Marseille
Draw
Auxerre
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
25 18 3 4 +32 57
2
Lens Lens
26 18 2 6 +26 56
3
Marseille Marseille H
26 15 4 7 +20 49
4
Lyon Lyon
25 14 4 7 +13 46
5
Monaco Monaco
26 13 4 9 +8 43
6
Rennes Rennes
25 12 7 6 +7 43
7
Lille Lille
25 12 5 8 +6 41
8
Lorient Lorient
26 9 10 7 -3 37
9
Strasbourg Strasbourg
25 10 6 9 +9 36
10
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
26 10 6 10 -2 36
11
Angers Angers
26 9 5 12 -9 32
12
Toulouse Toulouse
25 8 7 10 +4 31
13
Paris FC Paris FC
25 6 9 10 -12 27
14
Nice Nice
26 7 6 13 -16 27
15
Le Havre Le Havre
25 6 8 11 -12 26
16
Auxerre Auxerre A
26 4 7 15 -17 19
17
Nantes Nantes
25 4 5 16 -20 17
18
Metz Metz
25 3 4 18 -34 13

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record