Paulista - A3 Paulista - A3 March 11, 2026
Marília

Marília

20
FT
USAC

USAC

We predicted

Marília 4+ 39% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Marília 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Marília
Rank#2
Played15
Points28
PPG1.87
Goal Diff7
D W D D W
USAC
10#Rank
15Played
17Points
1.13PPG
-7Goal Diff
L L W L W
Most Likely Scores
Marília 4+
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
8.68
2-0
11.0%
9.1
1-1
10.4%
9.62
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.98
NO 49% · 2.02
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Marília 56% · 1.77
Draw 33% · 3.02
USAC 10% · 9.63
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88 Under 47% · 2.13
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.35
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.25 Under 69% · 1.45

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Marília Marília
D W D D W
USAC USAC
L L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Marília
Stat
USAC
1.91
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#2
League Pos.
#10
28 pts
Points
17 pts
1.87
Points / Game
1.13
+7
Goal Diff.
-7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
1 W
Marília
Draw
USAC
15 total goals
5 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record