Paulista - A3
April 4, 2026
Marília
2–0
LIVE
EC São Bernardo
Predicted score
1-0
43% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Marília
Rank#2
Played15
Points28
PPG1.87
Goal Diff7
D
W
D
D
W
EC São Bernardo
13#Rank
15Played
16Points
1.07PPG
-4Goal Diff
D
L
W
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.3%
6.52
1-1
12.0%
8.35
2-0
11.5%
8.67
0-0
10.2%
9.79
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.38
NO
58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Marília
51% · 1.98
Draw
34% · 2.97
EC São Bernardo
16% · 6.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.51
Under 60% · 1.66
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.5
Under 34% · 2.98
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.09
Under 80% · 1.24
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Marília
D
W
D
D
W
EC São Bernardo
D
L
W
D
D
Key Stats Comparison
Marília
Stat
EC São Bernardo
1.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#2
League Pos.
#13
28 pts
Points
16 pts
1.87
Points / Game
1.07
+7
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Marília
Draw
EC São Bernardo
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.