Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 February 7, 2026
Marchamalo

Marchamalo

02
FT
Toledo

Toledo

We predicted

0-0 64% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 64%
Team Context
Marchamalo
Rank#11
Played20
Points23
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-1
D W L W W
Toledo
1#Rank
20Played
42Points
2.1PPG
22Goal Diff
W L L W W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 3% · 30.4
NO 97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Marchamalo 15% · 6.61
Draw 70% · 1.43
Toledo 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0 Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23 Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0 Under 100% · 1.0

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Marchamalo Marchamalo
D W L W W
Toledo Toledo
W L L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Marchamalo
Stat
Toledo
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#11
League Pos.
#1
23 pts
Points
42 pts
1.15
Points / Game
2.1
-1
Goal Diff.
+22

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo
29 18 8 3 +26 62
2
Toledo Toledo A
29 17 10 2 +33 61
3
Albacete II Albacete II
29 16 10 3 +31 58
4
Tarancón Tarancón
29 17 7 5 +26 58
5
Manchego Manchego
29 16 5 8 +22 53
6
Villarrubia Villarrubia
29 13 7 10 +7 45
7
San Clemente San Clemente
29 11 10 8 -1 43
8
Villacañas Villacañas
29 11 9 9 +7 42
9
Guadalajara II Guadalajara II
29 10 9 10 +0 39
10
Villarrobledo Villarrobledo
29 9 10 10 -6 37
11
Huracán Balazote Huracán Balazote
29 11 4 14 -8 37
12
Marchamalo Marchamalo H
29 9 6 14 -3 33
13
Illescas Illescas
29 7 10 12 -11 31
14
La Solana La Solana
29 6 10 13 -13 28
15
Pedroñeras Pedroñeras
29 5 12 13 -17 26
16
Azuqueca Azuqueca
29 4 12 13 -13 24
17
Sonseca Sonseca
29 3 7 19 -39 16
18
Cazalegas Cazalegas
29 3 6 20 -41 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record