Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
February 1, 2026
Marbelli
1–1
FT
El Palo
We predicted
0-0
61% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, February 1 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
0-0
|
Actual
1–1
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
61%
Team Context
Marbelli
Rank#7
Played19
Points29
PPG1.53
Goal Diff5
L
W
W
D
W
El Palo
17#Rank
19Played
14Points
0.74PPG
-19Goal Diff
W
L
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
3% · 30.4
NO
97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Marbelli
15% · 6.61
Draw
70% · 1.43
El Palo
15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0
Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23
Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0
Under 100% · 1.0
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Marbelli
L
W
W
D
W
El Palo
W
L
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Marbelli
Stat
El Palo
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#7
League Pos.
#17
29 pts
Points
14 pts
1.53
Points / Game
0.74
+5
Goal Diff.
-19
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
1 W
Marbelli
Draw
El Palo
9
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Motril
|
26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | +24 | 53 |
| 2 |
Mijas Las Lagunas
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |
Arenas Armilla
|
25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | +14 | 46 |
| 4 |
Torre del Mar
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +10 | 42 |
| 5 |
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
|
26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 40 |
| 6 |
Churriana Vega
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 40 |
| 7 |
Marbelli
H
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 39 |
| 8 |
Huétor Vega
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +0 | 36 |
| 9 |
Atlético Porcuna
|
25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +5 | 35 |
| 10 |
Granada II
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | +2 | 35 |
| 11 |
Martos
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |
UD Melilla II
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 |
UD San Pedro
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Alhaurino
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 29 |
| 15 |
Huétor Tájar
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 29 |
| 16 |
Mancha Real
|
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 |
El Palo
A
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -23 | 20 |
| 18 |
Torreperogil
|
25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -22 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.