FKF Premier League
March 21, 2026
Mara Sugar
0–0
FT
APS Bomet
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
0–0
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Mara Sugar
Rank#11
Played23
Points29
PPG1.26
Goal Diff0
D
W
D
W
D
APS Bomet
16#Rank
24Played
20Points
0.83PPG
-9Goal Diff
D
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.65
1-0
12.3%
8.14
0-1
10.2%
9.78
0-0
9.6%
10.42
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.12
NO
53% · 1.9
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mara Sugar
39% · 2.58
Draw
31% · 3.26
APS Bomet
30% · 3.28
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.41
Under 58% · 1.71
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47
Under 32% · 3.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.78
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Mara Sugar
D
W
D
W
D
APS Bomet
D
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Mara Sugar
Stat
APS Bomet
1.28
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.06
#11
League Pos.
#16
29 pts
Points
20 pts
1.26
Points / Game
0.83
+0
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
2 W
Mara Sugar
Draw
APS Bomet
4
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOR Mahia
|
25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | +26 | 56 |
| 2 |
AFC Leopards
|
25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | +15 | 49 |
| 3 |
Police
|
25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 40 |
| 4 |
Shabana
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +3 | 40 |
| 5 |
Homeboyz
|
24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | +9 | 39 |
| 6 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | +6 | 38 |
| 7 |
Tusker
|
25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | -2 | 37 |
| 8 |
Bandari
|
25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | +2 | 34 |
| 9 |
KCB
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 |
Nairobi United
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
| 11 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |
Mara Sugar
H
|
24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | +0 | 30 |
| 13 |
Mathare United
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -2 | 30 |
| 14 |
Kariobangi Sharks
|
25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 |
Bidco United
|
25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 |
APS Bomet
A
|
25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 |
Sofapaka
|
25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -19 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.