Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone H March 15, 2026
Manfredonia

Manfredonia

31
FT
Paganese

Paganese

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Manfredonia
Rank#11
Played26
Points32
PPG1.23
Goal Diff-5
L W L D L
Paganese
3#Rank
26Played
50Points
1.92PPG
8Goal Diff
L D W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.12
1-1
13.5%
7.41
0-0
13.1%
7.62
0-1
12.6%
7.94
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.47
NO 59% · 1.68
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Manfredonia 27% · 3.76
Draw 36% · 2.75
Paganese 37% · 2.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.02 Under 67% · 1.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.51
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.74 Under 85% · 1.17

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Manfredonia Manfredonia
L W L D L
Paganese Paganese
L D W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Manfredonia
Stat
Paganese
1.07
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.96
#11
League Pos.
#3
32 pts
Points
50 pts
1.23
Points / Game
1.92
-5
Goal Diff.
+8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record