Premier League Premier League March 15, 2026
Manchester United

Manchester United

31
FT
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

We predicted

Manchester United 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Manchester United 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Manchester United
Rank#3
Played29
Points51
PPG1.76
Goal Diff11
L W W D W
Aston Villa
4#Rank
29Played
51Points
1.76PPG
5Goal Diff
L L D W D
Most Likely Scores
Manchester United 4+
14.6%
2-0
11.2%
8.96
1-0
10.9%
9.18
2-1
9.9%
10.06
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.95
NO 49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Manchester United 58% · 1.71
Draw 32% · 3.1
Aston Villa 9% · 10.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78 Under 44% · 2.28
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.78
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.98 Under 66% · 1.51

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Manchester United Manchester United
L W W D W
Aston Villa Aston Villa
L L D W D

Key Stats Comparison

Manchester United
Stat
Aston Villa
2.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#3
League Pos.
#4
51 pts
Points
51 pts
1.76
Points / Game
1.76
+11
Goal Diff.
+5

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United H
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa A
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record