Premier League Premier League March 4, 2026
Manchester City

Manchester City

22
FT
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

We predicted

1-0 31% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Team Context
Manchester City
Rank#2
Played28
Points59
PPG2.11
Goal Diff32
W W W W D
Nottingham Forest
17#Rank
28Played
27Points
0.96PPG
-15Goal Diff
L L D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.37
1-1
12.6%
7.91
0-0
9.6%
10.38
2-0
9.6%
10.45
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.18
NO 54% · 1.84
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Manchester City 49% · 2.05
Draw 36% · 2.76
Nottingham Forest 15% · 6.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.41 Under 59% · 1.71
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.11
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.8 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Manchester City Manchester City
W W W W D
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
L L D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Manchester City
Stat
Nottingham Forest
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.93
#2
League Pos.
#17
59 pts
Points
27 pts
2.11
Points / Game
0.96
+32
Goal Diff.
-15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City H
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest A
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record