Premier League
May 24, 2026
Manchester City
15:00
VS
Aston Villa
Predicted score
Manchester City 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 24 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Manchester City
Rank#2
Played29
Points60
PPG2.07
Goal Diff32
D
W
W
W
W
Aston Villa
4#Rank
29Played
51Points
1.76PPG
5Goal Diff
L
L
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Manchester City 4+
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
7.82
1-0
12.1%
8.28
2-1
9.6%
10.38
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.15
NO
53% · 1.87
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Manchester City
59% · 1.69
Draw
30% · 3.39
Aston Villa
11% · 8.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.84
Under 46% · 2.19
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.52
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.13
Under 68% · 1.47
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Manchester City
D
W
W
W
W
Aston Villa
L
L
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Manchester City
Stat
Aston Villa
2.11
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#2
League Pos.
#4
60 pts
Points
51 pts
2.07
Points / Game
1.76
+32
Goal Diff.
+5
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Manchester City
Draw
Aston Villa
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
H
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
A
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.